Friday, 6 July 2012

Family Budget




Family Budget….

The more you earn, the more you spend. That’s why even with an increase in earnings, many families continue to live pay-day to pay-day. We call it the ‘month-end-blues’. Creating, implementing and monitoring a Family Budget is a step-by-step process that will help you clear debts and have more available cash to do the things that will provide a brighter financial future for you and your family.


  This is how most family budgets look!

Description: http://www.ourfamilyplace.com/images/spent.gif
Oops!
Money comes in             ^^^^^           Money gets spent!

Simply worrying when the end of the month approaches, will not help.
Worrying is stupid, it's like walking around with an umbrella waiting for it to rain.

The purpose of family budgeting is:
1.   To have a clear picture of one’s financial situation.
2.   Cutting costs and gaining control.
3.   Starting to save, building up wealth and liquid assets over time.
4.   To be prepared and avoid surprises.
5.   To save for a major purchase
6.   To get out of a vicious cycle of ever-spiralling debt.
7.   To eliminate money as a source of tension and topic for argument in the family and become empowered to know that debt does not rule their lives anymore!

Steps to work out a family budget for everyday living:

1.   The first step would be to accurately estimate your annual family income. This could include salaries, bonuses, commissions, rent income, family business profit or other sources of income. Then set aside what you would want to save for long term goals like, child’s education, retirement etc. The balance should then be treated as your available income.

2.   You should then list out all your recurring household expenses along with the scheduled dates for fixed pay-outs. The list should include bills that must be paid on a month to month basis and are likely to include: groceries, your home loan EMI, rent, electricity bill, phone bill, petrol, driver’s salary, cable television bill etc. Add any other monthly expenses you have such as child care, and credit card bills. Work out how much you need to put aside each month for less frequent but necessary expenses such as doctor visits, car maintenance and repair, toiletries etc. The list should be as exhaustive as possible and should cover almost all day-to-day living expenses. Beware of little expenses. A small leak will sink a great ship”. – Benjamin Franklin

3.   You should then write down your short, medium, and long term goals. The goals should be realistic and achievable with some financial discipline. You should also prioritize these goals.

4.   You then need to prioritize how you want to save money regularly. This would mean jotting down what savings categories to budget for and how much to fund them and on what schedule.

5.   You should then categorize the expenses into broad heads like must have (grocery, electricity expenses, telephone bills, petrol etc.), good to have (weekly eat-outs, movies etc.), want to have (annual vacations, upgrading your car etc.). This will help you to plan out your expenses and discover avenues to cut costs and save.

6.   Create an emergency fund. This should not be confused with the contingency fund which should typically be 6 months of your expenses. This emergency fund is just to take care of any particular month where you over-shoot your budget. “Even though work stops, expenses run on”. - Cato

7.   Work out your personal spending allowance. This step is the most important as it takes a lot of discipline and can undermine your whole budget plan if not followed.

8.   Subtract your expenses from your income. This is your surplus and the amount. Based on the amount you have leftover, decide how you would like to allocate it. Items you might want to include are: clothing, eating-out, vacations etc.

9.   The last and most dynamic step is to constantly review your budget against the actual expenses. Budgeting is an on-going exercise. It is great to have a budget but it is more important to track what you actually spend and make the necessary adjustments to help stay on course.


Some of the broad categories of expenses could be:

1.   Obligations – Rent, home loan EMI, insurance (health, auto, home, and life), school fees, taxes, property taxes etc.
2.   Necessities – Food, groceries, utilities (gas, electricity, household supplies, car maintenance, monthly parking, housekeeper, household repairs, internet service, laundry expenses, cable TV etc.
3.   Pocket expenses – Treat this as a whole category, covering: lunch at work, snacks, coffee, drinks, newspapers, magazines, cigarettes etc.
4.   Family Allowances – another whole category including items like : entertainment, weekend outing, movies, concerts, home improvements, magazine and other subscriptions, dining out etc.
5.   Personal allowances - clothing, hobbies, personal recreation, books, CD’s, manicures, hair, personal gifts, night out with friends, gardening, films, sports/recreation, family gifts etc.

Some good practices
1.   Keep a record of all expenses.
2.   Look at possible ways to curb expenses before finally dipping into the emergency funds or skipping the savings habit.
3.   Avoid credit cards except for emergencies. Maintain average quarterly minimum balances stipulated in your savings accounts to avoid charges. Often we hear people say My bank is the worst. They're charging me money for not having enough money in my account. Apparently, I can't even afford to be broke”. It would be better to close down multiple savings accounts unless it comes with some convenience that is absolutely necessary.

4.    Study your spending habits regularly. Check your credit card statements, savings account statements etc.

Some general strategies to work out a budget are:

*      Shift your attitude toward spending and actually focus on saving money, planning ahead and driving for success.
*      Develop a greater awareness of how you earn, manage, save and spend money.
*      Be aware about how advertisers, retailers, and manufacturers would lure, entice and want you to spend your money.
*      Do not envy others and crave for things that they might have or even worse, get deeper into debt to compete. It is counterproductive and can ruin lives!
*      Avoid impulsive purchases – you might discover that the item is not worth buying or you don’t actually need it.
*      Involve the family in the budgeting process.
*      Set spending limits and stick to them.
*      Do not make ends meet using credit cards and stay away from cash advances.
*      Understand your income – know where the money is coming from and how it varies throughout a one-year cycle.
*      Understand your expenses – monthly and irregular, unexpected expenses.
*      Know your own habits, spending, temptation, and where the areas of risk and exposure are.
*      Have the right number of credit cards
*      Set aside pocket money for daily incidentals
*      Create a family allowance to cover entertainment
*      Celebrate when you have money left over at the end of the month.

Why budgets fail:

*      Negative Attitude - A positive attitude about budgeting is essential to your success. If you think of budgeting in negative terms (such as a financial handcuff, restrictive, a sacrifice etc.) you are bound to fail. Think of a budget as way to achieve your dreams and goals--and that postponing the instant gratification of spending all the money you earn is worth the rewards you will get in the end.
*      Low Motivation – Is budgeting an escape route from your nagging spouse? Then it isn’t going to work! The best motivations are internally generated. You must honestly believe that budgeting can help you meet your goals.


*      Unrealistic Expectations - What do you expect to gain from drawing up and following a budget? Do you think that setting up a budget will magically transform your spending habits instantly? No, never! Budgeting is a long drawn process. Those who stick with it, through thick and thin will see steady, measurable progress towards the goals that really matter.

Budgeting is serious business for every family. Money is the only resource you have to secure your future and the future of your family and to live a good life. Get your spending under control and start treating your household like a business. With ad-hoc spending habits you are bound to struggle 

Sunday, 1 July 2012

Big Fat Bucks!


Big Notes!
Singapore has the honour of having the most valuable bank note in current circulation. Its $10,000 note is worth about Rs. 4,39,000/-


This note is primarily used for bank-to-bank transactions although it is legal tender. So if you somehow came across one, you could use it to make a purchase, but only in Singapore.

The second highest value note in current circulation is the Swiss Franc 1000, which is worth about Rs. 58,287/-   This note is recognised as tender around the world.


Over the years the United States have been known to create some incredible bank notes, at the moment their biggest bank note is the $100 bill, but that was certainly not the case in the past.


During 1940s and 50s America was known to have a number of high-sum notes in circulation, with a $10,000 floating about until it was discontinued in 1969. Despite an end to its production it still remains legal tender to this day and there are thought to be around 336 $10,000 notes still in existence, most likely in the hands of collectors. It is worth approximately today Rs.5,56,950/-.


One of the world’s most widespread currencies is the controversial Euro. Created in 2002, the Euro is used in 11 different EU nations, and its largest note is the €500, worth about Rs.  35,060/-.


Finally, the largest bank note ever denominated is the Zimbabwe $100 billion note. The note was created during a period of economic meltdown in Zimbabwe. Inflation was at a shocking 231,000,000% and the Z$100 billion was worth virtually nothing. Soon after Zimbabwe’s currency was suspended and foreign currency was used.


Monday, 25 June 2012

Which is a better investment, Gold or Equity?


Which is a better investment, Gold or Equity?



India is the world’s largest consumer of Gold. Indian consumers hold over USD 1 Trillion worth of Gold. Our fascination for Gold is never ending. Just as a part of an American’s dream is to own a home, the dream in India is to own as much Gold as possible.

Gold jewellery in India is considered as wearable wealth, financial security and of course a fashion statement. India’s love for Gold is as old as its culture! Of late it also has become a major asset class for investment. So it is important to see how Gold has fared historically compared to equities.

The chart below has captured the value of an investment of Rs. 1 lac made in 1978-79 in Gold and the same amount being invested in the BSE Sensex. The chart throws up startling facts!



GOLD VS SENSEX
From 1979-80 to 2011-12
Sl. No.
Year
Gold Price (10 grams)
Gold Return %
Value of Rs. 1 lac invested in Gold
Sensex
Sensex Return %
Value of Rs. 1 lac invested in Sensex
Value of investment in Sensex minus Gold
BASE YEAR
         791

    1,00,000
      100

            1,00,000

1
1979-80
       1,159
46%
    1,46,451
      129
29%
            1,29,000
        -17,451
2
1980-81
      1,522
31%
    1,92,417
      173
34%
            1,73,000
        -19,417
3
1981-82
       1,719
13%
    2,17,281
      218
26%
            2,18,000
             719
4
1982-83
      1,723
0%
    2,17,707
      212
-3%
            2,12,000
         -5,707
5
1983-84
       1,858
8%
    2,34,887
      245
16%
            2,45,000
        10,113
6
1984-85
       1,984
7%
    2,50,742
      354
44%
            3,54,000
     1,03,258
7
1985-86
      2,125
7%
    2,68,632
      574
62%
            5,74,000
      3,05,368
8
1986-87
      2,323
9%
    2,93,659
      510
-11%
            5,10,000
      2,16,341
9
1987-88
      3,082
33%
    3,89,579
      398
-22%
            3,98,000
          8,421
10
1988-89
       3,175
3%
    4,01,307
      714
79%
            7,14,000
      3,12,693
11
1989-90
      3,229
2%
    4,08,146
      781
9%
            7,81,000
      3,72,854
12
1990-91
      3,452
7%
    4,36,228
   1,168
50%
          11,68,000
      7,31,772
13
1991-92
      4,298
25%
    5,43,165
   4,285
267%
          42,85,000
    37,41,835
14
1992-93
      4,104
-5%
    5,18,650
   2,281
-47%
          22,81,000
    17,62,350
15
1993-94
      4,532
10%
    5,72,770
   3,779
66%
          37,79,000
   32,06,230
16
1994-95
       4,667
3%
    5,89,879
   3,261
-14%
          32,61,000
    26,71,121
17
1995-96
       4,958
6%
    6,26,577
   3,367
3%
          33,67,000
   27,40,423
18
1996-97
      5,071
2%
    6,40,872
   3,361
0%
          33,61,000
   27,20,128
19
1997-98
       4,347
-14%
    5,49,414
   3,893
16%
          38,93,000
    33,43,586
20
1998-99
      4,268
-2%
    5,39,420
   3,740
-4%
          37,40,000
   32,00,580
21
1999-00
       4,394
3%
    5,55,289
   5,001
34%
          50,01,000
    44,45,711
22
2000-01
       4,474
2%
    5,65,405
   3,604
-28%
          36,04,000
    30,38,595
23
2001-02
       4,579
2%
    5,78,742
   3,469
-4%
          34,69,000
   28,90,258
24
2002-03
      5,332
16%
    6,73,942
   3,049
-12%
          30,49,000
    23,75,058
25
2003-04
       5,719
7%
    7,22,801
   5,591
83%
          55,91,000
    48,68,199
26
2004-05
       6,145
7%
    7,76,697
   6,493
16%
          64,93,000
    57,16,303
27
2005-06
      6,901
12%
    8,72,142
 11,280
74%
       1,12,80,000
 1,04,07,858
28
2006-07
      9,240
34%
   11,67,857
 13,072
16%
       1,30,72,000
 1,19,04,143
29
2007-08
       9,996
8%
   12,63,317
  15,644
20%
        1,56,44,000
 1,43,80,683
30
2008-09
    12,890
29%
   16,29,097
   9,708
-38%
          97,08,000
    80,78,903
31
2009-10
     15,756
22%
   19,91,366
 17,527
81%
       1,75,27,000
 1,55,35,634
32
2010-11
    19,227
22%
   24,30,055
  19,455
11%
        1,94,55,000
 1,70,24,945
33
2011-12
    26,520
38%
  33,51,786
 17,404
-11%
      1,74,04,000
 1,40,52,214
CAGR FOR LAST 33 YEARS
11.22%


16.92%


Dividend yield (DY) is not part of the Sensex returns.
Assuming only 1% CAGR of DY, the Sensex CAGR for the last 32 years is
17.92%
As on 31st March 2012
Rs.1 Lac invested in Sensex 33 years ago is Rs.1.74 crore.
Rs.1 Lac invested in Gold 33 years ago is Rs.33.52 lac today.
By the way……....Rs.1 Lac kept under your pillow 33 years ago is worth approximately Rs.7,000 today.



Historical Data:

The BSE Sensex delivered an annualized return of 16.92% in the last 33 years (since inception). So Rs.1 lakh invested in Sensex 33 years ago is now around Rs.1.74 crore.



Assuming a dividend yield of a paltry 1% per annum, the annualized returns work out to 17.92%. Adding the above dividend yield, the corpus would be Rs.2.29 crore.

If a 2 % annual dividend yield is assumed then the corpus would be Rs. 3.04 crore and a dividend yield of 3% per annum would have grown the corpus to Rs. 4.00 crore today!

The annualized rate of return for Gold is 11.22%. So Rs.1 lakh invested in Gold 33 years ago is worth Rs.33.52 lakhs today.

The Commodity Cycle:

International Gold prices saw a severe crash for over two decades beginning 1980. In India we did not feel the impact because rupee depreciated a lot during the same period.

Gold prices fell from USD 892 per ounce in 1980 to USD 272 in the year 2000. That’s a fall of around 70% over a 20 year period. Then why were Indian Gold prices Rs. 1,159 (per 10 grams) in 1979-80 and Rs. 4,394 in 1999-2000?

Well, Gold prices fell 70% but the rupee depreciated by 470% in the same period. So the gain in the Indian market while prices fell globally was due to the appreciation in the value of the USD compared to the rupee. This created an illusion that Gold prices never fall.

Commodities have longer cycles. On an average a commodity bull market lasts more than a decade and a commodity bear market lasts nearly two decades. Unlike commodities like Gold which have longer cycles stock markets usually have shorter cycles. This creates an illusion that the Gold prices are more stable than the stock markets. In stock markets the recovery also may be faster but in Gold the recovery may be longer.

Globally it took 27 years to get the same price for Gold. The highest price reached in 1980 (USD 682 per ounce on 1st October 1980) was again touched only on 15th May 2006. Zero return for almost 27 years!



Warren Buffett’s view:



Warren Buffett’s annual shareholder letter is an eagerly anticipated treat for the financial community. An extract from his letter for 2012 is reproduced below. This gives us a peek into the mind of the legendary investor’s as far as investment in Gold as an asset class is concerned.



“The second major category of investments involves assets that will never produce anything, but that are purchased in the buyer's hope that someone else -- who also knows that the assets will be forever unproductive -- will pay more for them in the future.



This type of investment requires an expanding pool of buyers, who, in turn, are enticed because they believe the buying pool will expand still further. Owners are not inspired by what the asset itself can produce -- it will remain lifeless forever -- but rather by the belief that others will desire it even more avidly in the future.



The major asset in this category is Gold, currently a huge favourite of investors who fear almost all other assets, especially paper money (of whose value, as noted, they are right to be fearful).



Gold, however, has two significant shortcomings, being neither of much use nor procreative. True, Gold has some industrial and decorative utility, but the demand for these purposes is both limited and incapable of soaking up new production.



Meanwhile, if you own one ounce of Gold for an eternity, you will still own one ounce at its end.



What motivates most Gold purchasers is their belief that the ranks of the fearful will grow. During the past decade that belief has proved correct. Beyond that, the rising price has on its own generated additional buying enthusiasm, attracting purchasers who see the rise as validating an investment thesis. As "bandwagon" investors join any party, they create their own truth -- for a while.



Over the past 15 years, both Internet stocks and houses have demonstrated the extraordinary excesses that can be created by combining an initially sensible thesis with well-publicized rising prices.



In these bubbles, an army of originally sceptical investors succumbed to the "proof” delivered by the market, and the pool of buyers -- for a time -- expanded sufficiently to keep the bandwagon rolling. But bubbles blown large enough inevitably pop. And then the old proverb is confirmed once again: "What the wise man does in the beginning, the fool does in the end."